09 Sep 2010
Bonds or equities?
08 Sep 2010
Copper - a market indicator?
07 Sep 2010
Where next for ‘difficult’ markets?
06 Sep 2010
Trading gold - 'higher prices to come'
02 Sep 2010
Two stocks to watch - a miner and a bank
01 Sep 2010
FTSE 100 outlook: "Bulls beware"
31 Aug 2010
Crude oil decline not over
26 Aug 2010
Euro/GBP downtrend strengthening
25 Aug 2010
Crunch time for UK gilts
24 Aug 2010
Outlook for the indices
23 Aug 2010
Gold: Price action and trends
20 Aug 2010
BHP Potash bid - the analysis
19 Aug 2010
Stock markets face further weakness
18 Aug 2010
Warning signs for commodities
16 Aug 2010
Dollar strength may help EUR, GBP
14 Aug 2010
A case for bullish oil?
12 Aug 2010
Long-term gloom for global indices?
11 Aug 2010
JPY/USD follows treasury decline
10 Aug 2010
US 10-yr TSY points towards weak recovery
09 Aug 2010
Find the trend, apply the charts
06 Aug 2010
FTSE new entrant 'good value'
05 Aug 2010
No escape for Nikkei on weak dollar
04 Aug 2010
Further downside moves for USD/CAD
03 Aug 2010
The case for GBP over AUD
02 Aug 2010
Bearish outlook for gold
29 Jul 2010
US data key to next market move
28 Jul 2010
Gold 'may be turning'
27 Jul 2010
Yen at the crossroads
26 Jul 2010
FTSE correction points towards downside
22 Jul 2010
More soy milk in your coffee?
21 Jul 2010
Trading the EUR/CHF
20 Jul 2010
Defensive summer for equities
19 Jul 2010
Interpreting the charts
16 Jul 2010
More twists in Dana Petroleum bidding war
15 Jul 2010
Two stocks about to move
14 Jul 2010
Volatility expected on the Dow
13 Jul 2010
Sell signals loom for short-term traders
12 Jul 2010
Trading FTSE's current trend
08 Jul 2010
Market recovery or one more shock?
07 Jul 2010
Has dollar broken its downtrend?
06 Jul 2010
BP shares show short term gains
05 Jul 2010
Trading in the real world: Gold
01 Jul 2010
Oil set for sideways summer
30 Jun 2010
Where next for sterling and dollar?
29 Jun 2010
FTSE likely to fall further
28 Jun 2010
Trading in the real world: FTSE 100
24 Jun 2010
Fresnillo to keep shining
24 Jun 2010
Next target for gold
23 Jun 2010
Beware euro's short term gains
22 Jun 2010
Further gains expected for S&P500
21 Jun 2010
Trading with the ADX and Moving Average
18 Jun 2010
Why Murdoch will increase BSkyB offer
17 Jun 2010
Equity squeeze to continue?
16 Jun 2010
Commodity death cross 'confirmed'
15 Jun 2010
GBP: Key levels and outlook
11 Jun 2010
Combining technical indicators: ADX and DMI
11 Jun 2010
Can maker Rexam hoping for World Cup fizz
09 Jun 2010
Euro doom vs dollar boom
07 Jun 2010
How to trade on the 'right' side
04 Jun 2010
BP oil spill a 'missed opportunity'?
03 Jun 2010
Stock watching: Two to look out for
02 Jun 2010
Trend change for long term FTSE
01 Jun 2010
Trend or trading range?
28 May 2010
Gold mining: The next big thing
27 May 2010
Eurozone threat to US equities
26 May 2010
Death cross hangs over commodity recovery
25 May 2010
EUR/GBP: More weakness to come?
24 May 2010
Swing trading 'back with a vengeance'
19 May 2010
Caution on equities
18 May 2010
Breakout trading: EUR/USD
17 May 2010
How to trade end of month rallies
14 May 2010
Gold shares set to shine
13 May 2010
FTSE fall: Correction or sustained sell-off?
12 May 2010
Sterling could dip further
11 May 2010
Gilt yields to rise if deficit not reduced
10 May 2010
The 'psychology' of price movements
06 May 2010
Two stocks to watch
05 May 2010
FTSE bullish trend intact
04 May 2010
How to trade crude oil
30 Apr 2010
Glaxo set for long-term growth
29 Apr 2010
'Commodities crystal ball'
28 Apr 2010
EUR/GBP next key target
27 Apr 2010
Will the euro keep falling?
23 Apr 2010
Iron ore shares fail to excite
22 Apr 2010
'Choppy' oil stuck in sideways trade
21 Apr 2010
Gold trading: Key levels to watch
20 Apr 2010
Is FTSE about to run out of steam?
14 Apr 2010
Equities to keep rising
14 Apr 2010
Gold: Golden opportunity for range trading
13 Apr 2010
AUD surge following 'golden cross'
08 Apr 2010
Oil tipped to hit $100 this summer
07 Apr 2010
Fresh targets for dollar/yen
06 Apr 2010
Trading tricks with Relative Strength Index
01 Apr 2010
One stock to buy, one stock to sell
31 Mar 2010
FTSE overbought but uptrend intact
29 Mar 2010
Taking the strain out of RSI
26 Mar 2010
Why you shouldn't hang up on BT
25 Mar 2010
Equity recovery has more room to run
24 Mar 2010
Market Sniper goes commodity shopping
23 Mar 2010
Who is king of the commodity currencies?
19 Mar 2010
Life insurance: Sector at the crossroads
18 Mar 2010
Outlook for copper and gold
17 Mar 2010
Australian dollar shows signs of weakness
16 Mar 2010
Mining sector faces rocky time
15 Mar 2010
MACD charts: What, where and how
12 Mar 2010
Telcos: Don't be afraid to go back in
10 Mar 2010
Forex focus: All change in China?
10 Mar 2010
Forex focus: Euro in long term reversal
09 Mar 2010
Forex focus: Sterling still undervalued
08 Mar 2010
Parabolic SAR: Complex trading made easy
05 Mar 2010
BAT leads tobacco sector growth
04 Mar 2010
Gold some way from recovering its shine
03 Mar 2010
Battle of the high yielders AUD and NZD
02 Mar 2010
A futures look at the sterling problem
01 Mar 2010
Channel trading with moving averages
26 Feb 2010
Optimistic outlook for oil E&P
25 Feb 2010
Time to accumulate gold
24 Feb 2010
Five shares to watch
23 Feb 2010
Market Sniper targets bearish currency pairs
22 Feb 2010
Moving averages for entry and exit points
19 Feb 2010
The case for being bullish on gold miners
18 Feb 2010
Oil: $90 'a possible target'
17 Feb 2010
Pound, dollar: More weakness to come
15 Feb 2010
S&P 500 poised for further gains
10 Feb 2010
Gold to shine in short term
10 Feb 2010
'Precarious' FTSE looks for more good news
09 Feb 2010
'Death cross' threatens euro/dollar
08 Feb 2010
Getting the breaks with outside bars
05 Feb 2010
Oil majors: Performance and outlook
04 Feb 2010
Volatile year ahead for equities
03 Feb 2010
Dollar momentum signalled by Swiss Franc
02 Feb 2010
Emerging markets in downward correction
01 Feb 2010
Bar patterns: Simple, profitable but ignored
29 Jan 2010
Pharmas to evolve and innovate in 2010
28 Jan 2010
Currency pairs on the move
27 Jan 2010
Break-out trading with commodities
26 Jan 2010
Two FTSE stocks ready to breakout
25 Jan 2010
Consolidation patterns and their use
22 Jan 2010
Tech stocks to watch in 2010
21 Jan 2010
Forex: Euro's Achilles heel
20 Jan 2010
Gold to fall below $1,000
19 Jan 2010
Forex : USD/JPY impact on Nikkei
18 Jan 2010
Continuation patterns: Bear flags
15 Jan 2010
Forecast for retail
14 Jan 2010
Aussie dollar: Buy or sell?
13 Jan 2010
Gold to test new highs
12 Jan 2010
Dow heads to pre-Lehman levels
11 Jan 2010
Continuation patterns: Bull flags
08 Jan 2010
Petrofac and energy services
07 Jan 2010
Pound faces long-term weakness
06 Jan 2010
Cold snap pushes oil, gold to retest highs
05 Jan 2010
FTSE: Key levels to watch as rally continues
04 Jan 2010
Bullish head and shoulder patterns
21 Dec 2009
Bearish head and shoulder patterns
18 Dec 2009
Who will succeed in 2010?
17 Dec 2009
Markets, gold and oil trends for 2010
16 Dec 2009
Stocks to pick in 2010
15 Dec 2009
FTSE and Dow bearish in early 2010
14 Dec 2009
Spotting major reversal points
11 Dec 2009
Outlook for UK banking sector
10 Dec 2009
Pound/dollar forecast 2010
09 Dec 2009
Patterns predict breakout for Wincanton
08 Dec 2009
Gold reveals upside potential for equities
07 Dec 2009
Double bottom patterns
04 Dec 2009
Fresnillo and silver mining
03 Dec 2009
Dollar/yen slide continues, 15yr low looms
02 Dec 2009
Dubai, LSE glitch prove FTSE's strength
01 Dec 2009
Thomas Cook sparks travel stock interest
27 Nov 2009
BA, easyJet and Ryanair
26 Nov 2009
Silver to outshine gold
25 Nov 2009
Commodity currencies favour yen
24 Nov 2009
Mind the Dow/Nikkei gap
23 Nov 2009
Charts Masterclass: Using trend lines
20 Nov 2009
Russian miner Petropavlovsk
19 Nov 2009
Usual suspects keep FTSE strong
18 Nov 2009
Metal price surge shows no sign of stopping
17 Nov 2009
Dollar/Yen: Greenback weakness to continue
13 Nov 2009
Shell vs. BP
12 Nov 2009
US stocks: buy or sell?
11 Nov 2009
Oil to hit $100 a barrel
10 Nov 2009
Pound/dollar: There may be trouble ahead
06 Nov 2009
Sainsbury vs. Tesco
05 Nov 2009
Dow faces further down moves
04 Nov 2009
Caution urged as short term FTSE nears top
03 Nov 2009
Stocks to watch: Rio Tinto and Bunzl
02 Nov 2009
Charts Masterclass: Trading with the uptrend
30 Oct 2009
Randgold Resources
29 Oct 2009
Levels to watch for sterling, dollar
28 Oct 2009
India, Brazil key to understanding dollar
27 Oct 2009
Treasury notes, oil and the dollar
15 Oct 2009
Sterling in the spotlight
30 Sep 2009
Time to short euro and gold?
24 Sep 2009
FTSE continues bullish trend
16 Sep 2009
Gold: next target $1,600
03 Sep 2009
Buying back into banks
27 Aug 2009
Investors warned on aggressive buying
19 Aug 2009
Bears rule as markets move lower
13 Aug 2009
Reading the markets' mixed signals
06 Aug 2009
Outlook bullish for mining stocks
30 Jul 2009
Beware of buying into buoyant markets
23 Jul 2009
July's positive market momentum to continue
16 Jul 2009
S&P poised for downward move
08 Jul 2009
Signs point to markets breaking lower
07 Jul 2009
FTSE stocks: one to buy and one to sell
02 Jul 2009
Dow Jones: Sell short into any strength
15 Jun 2009
Volumes key to next market move
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Sandy Jadeja, Chief Market Strategist
Sandy Jadeja from City Index looks further at how to use the ADX indicator to preview highs and lows in the market but exposes his new technique on how to combine it with moving average and price behaviour.
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Hello and welcome to CantosCharts Masterclass. I'm Sandy Jadeja, Chief Technical Analyst for City Index. Welcome to another lesson in technical analysis and chart reading. As always, remember these are simply for information and educational purposes only.
Today we're going to continue looking at the ADX indicator. We've had some fairly good reviews back on how it is used as particular indicators, so I want to delve into a little bit more of the pros and cons about using indicators today.
So we'll take a look at the ADX along with the moving average and see if we can fine tune this to give us some better strategies.
Also, I want to look for the disadvantages and advantages as I said, but also the dual confirmation from both the ADX and the moving average and I also want to indicate how we should be observing price behaviour at certain parts of moves in the markets.
Now we'll start by taking a look at crude oil. This is a weekly chart. Now you'll remember from the previous lessons that I like the ADX indicator to be above 20. Notice also that we have the moving average and this is a 20 week moving average on the chart. So we saw a high at $144 before crude oil started its decent towards the downside. So what information did we actually have there?
Well as soon as crude oil dipped below the 20 week moving average, what was the position of the ADX? Well this is where it gets really interesting because the move down had been quite sharp, but if you look at the ADX indicator, that was tapering off. In other words, it was slowing down. But it was still above the 20 line which was suggesting that it's a positive move for the ADX indicator but negative for crude oil.
Now recently, crude oil has been struggling to gain any upside momentum. We've noticed several things actually. The commodity has been moving sideways. Straight away you should notice that at the $89 mark we've had almost like a triple top. There has been several attempts - on the weekly chart we would notice it or we would refer to this as a triple top, but on a daily chart there has been multiple attempts.
But what about the ADX, what information has that been giving? Well actually, straight away we can see that it is below the 20 level, so it's telling us that the trend itself is quite weak and that's why we've got this sideways market. As you can see, there is no real underlying trend there. It's just really trading between a channel of highs and lows.
At the moment though the ADX is starting to appear as if it is going to move above the 20 line. So if we start seeing prices move towards the upside and get above the 20 week moving average, with the ADX above 20, there's a possibility that we might start seeing higher prices in crude oil.
On the flipside though, if we start falling towards the downside and if the ADX moves above the 20 line, there could be a move sharply towards the downside.
Now here we're taking a look at gold and again, this is the weekly chart. I'd like to draw your attention to two areas. The first is between the two vertical lines and you'll notice that gold rallied, but what about the ADX indicator? What actually happened to that?
You can see that the ADX indicator was trading below its 20 line and that was suggesting that the move was quite weak. Well actually, from a price perspective, it was actually a good strong move. So the ADX indicator was failing to pick up on this.
So we need to pay attention sometimes that it's not just the indicator that's going to provide the lead; it's the market itself and here we really do need to pay attention to the price of gold, not necessarily the moving average or the ADX indicator. So as I said previously, price is king. It rules. It basically moves first and the indicators will then follow.
Now after the second vertical line, what happened at that point there? Well, the ADX indicator had risen above the 20 line and prices still continued to move towards the upside. Now the difference here being between these two sides here is the behaviour of price.
Between the first two vertical lines there were good moves towards the upside, but the price range was quite narrow. After the second vertical line, we had wider price bars. In other words, price was moving, there was a wider price range between the highs and lows and therefore, the move was also similarly to the previous one but quite strong.
So what you really do need to pay attention to first is price. Second, followed by the indicators whether you're going to be looking at the moving average or the ADX. Now of course, in previous lessons, I've told you how you can utilise the moving average, so it's worthwhile revisiting those lessons.
In this example here we have the FTSE 100 daily chart. Now there are some arrows that I've put onto this particular chart here. After the low of 5,033, notice that the FTSE had climbed above its 20 day moving average. The ADX was still above 20 indicating that the move should be sufficient enough to get towards the upside.
Now the second blue arrow indicates when we had a dip below the 20 ADX line and then climbed back above there and as you can see, FTSE steadily moved towards the upside making a high at 5,833.
Now at that point the market had then closed below its 20 day moving average indicating that there might be a reversal. As you can see, the FTSE dropped quite sharply down towards the 4,898 level, but what else do we observe? Notice that there is a rise in the ADX indicator and that was suggesting that the move towards the downside was a fairly strong one. So as you can see here, that was quite a nice set up and it worked very well as opposed to a previous chart we had a mixed signal there.
So it's worthwhile paying attention to these indicators, but it's also worth noting that they're not the be all and end all. You don't really want to rely on an indicator 100 percent of the time. They're simply tools and that's all they're going to do for you. They're going to give you some added confirmation at certain times and at certain times they will fail.
So in conclusion, please pay attention to some of the following points here. We want to notice if the ADX reading is above or below 20. If it's above 20 it's suggesting that the move, or the trend, should be fairly strong. If it's below 20, it's suggesting that the move, or the trend, could be weak.
Also, is the market trading above or below the 20 period moving average? In other words, are we trading towards the upside or towards the downside? What is the overall trend of prices?
Then of course you want to pay attention to support and resistance levels. In a previous lesson I've talked about psychological round numbers. Are we heading towards a psychological round number in resistance or support because that may have an impact on the current move as well?
Then of course, pay attention to the behaviour of prices. Are the price bars narrow or are they expanding because that will suggest that prices are moving in a greater trend move than a narrow trend move?
In the next lesson we'll talk about ADX along with another indicator. In the meantime, have a great trading week. This is Sandy Jadeja.

26 Aug 2010
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Barclays - Interim results 2010

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Unilever - Half-year and Q2 2010 results
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