09 Sep 2010
Bonds or equities?
08 Sep 2010
Copper - a market indicator?
07 Sep 2010
Where next for ‘difficult’ markets?
06 Sep 2010
Trading gold - 'higher prices to come'
02 Sep 2010
Two stocks to watch - a miner and a bank
01 Sep 2010
FTSE 100 outlook: "Bulls beware"
31 Aug 2010
Crude oil decline not over
26 Aug 2010
Euro/GBP downtrend strengthening
25 Aug 2010
Crunch time for UK gilts
24 Aug 2010
Outlook for the indices
23 Aug 2010
Gold: Price action and trends
20 Aug 2010
BHP Potash bid - the analysis
19 Aug 2010
Stock markets face further weakness
18 Aug 2010
Warning signs for commodities
16 Aug 2010
Dollar strength may help EUR, GBP
14 Aug 2010
A case for bullish oil?
12 Aug 2010
Long-term gloom for global indices?
11 Aug 2010
JPY/USD follows treasury decline
10 Aug 2010
US 10-yr TSY points towards weak recovery
09 Aug 2010
Find the trend, apply the charts
06 Aug 2010
FTSE new entrant 'good value'
05 Aug 2010
No escape for Nikkei on weak dollar
04 Aug 2010
Further downside moves for USD/CAD
03 Aug 2010
The case for GBP over AUD
02 Aug 2010
Bearish outlook for gold
29 Jul 2010
US data key to next market move
28 Jul 2010
Gold 'may be turning'
27 Jul 2010
Yen at the crossroads
26 Jul 2010
FTSE correction points towards downside
22 Jul 2010
More soy milk in your coffee?
21 Jul 2010
Trading the EUR/CHF
20 Jul 2010
Defensive summer for equities
19 Jul 2010
Interpreting the charts
16 Jul 2010
More twists in Dana Petroleum bidding war
15 Jul 2010
Two stocks about to move
14 Jul 2010
Volatility expected on the Dow
13 Jul 2010
Sell signals loom for short-term traders
12 Jul 2010
Trading FTSE's current trend
08 Jul 2010
Market recovery or one more shock?
07 Jul 2010
Has dollar broken its downtrend?
06 Jul 2010
BP shares show short term gains
05 Jul 2010
Trading in the real world: Gold
01 Jul 2010
Oil set for sideways summer
30 Jun 2010
Where next for sterling and dollar?
29 Jun 2010
FTSE likely to fall further
28 Jun 2010
Trading in the real world: FTSE 100
24 Jun 2010
Fresnillo to keep shining
24 Jun 2010
Next target for gold
23 Jun 2010
Beware euro's short term gains
22 Jun 2010
Further gains expected for S&P500
21 Jun 2010
Trading with the ADX and Moving Average
18 Jun 2010
Why Murdoch will increase BSkyB offer
17 Jun 2010
Equity squeeze to continue?
16 Jun 2010
Commodity death cross 'confirmed'
15 Jun 2010
GBP: Key levels and outlook
11 Jun 2010
Combining technical indicators: ADX and DMI
11 Jun 2010
Can maker Rexam hoping for World Cup fizz
09 Jun 2010
Euro doom vs dollar boom
07 Jun 2010
How to trade on the 'right' side
04 Jun 2010
BP oil spill a 'missed opportunity'?
03 Jun 2010
Stock watching: Two to look out for
02 Jun 2010
Trend change for long term FTSE
01 Jun 2010
Trend or trading range?
28 May 2010
Gold mining: The next big thing
27 May 2010
Eurozone threat to US equities
26 May 2010
Death cross hangs over commodity recovery
25 May 2010
EUR/GBP: More weakness to come?
24 May 2010
Swing trading 'back with a vengeance'
19 May 2010
Caution on equities
18 May 2010
Breakout trading: EUR/USD
17 May 2010
How to trade end of month rallies
14 May 2010
Gold shares set to shine
13 May 2010
FTSE fall: Correction or sustained sell-off?
12 May 2010
Sterling could dip further
11 May 2010
Gilt yields to rise if deficit not reduced
10 May 2010
The 'psychology' of price movements
06 May 2010
Two stocks to watch
05 May 2010
FTSE bullish trend intact
04 May 2010
How to trade crude oil
30 Apr 2010
Glaxo set for long-term growth
29 Apr 2010
'Commodities crystal ball'
28 Apr 2010
EUR/GBP next key target
27 Apr 2010
Will the euro keep falling?
23 Apr 2010
Iron ore shares fail to excite
22 Apr 2010
'Choppy' oil stuck in sideways trade
21 Apr 2010
Gold trading: Key levels to watch
20 Apr 2010
Is FTSE about to run out of steam?
14 Apr 2010
Equities to keep rising
14 Apr 2010
Gold: Golden opportunity for range trading
13 Apr 2010
AUD surge following 'golden cross'
08 Apr 2010
Oil tipped to hit $100 this summer
07 Apr 2010
Fresh targets for dollar/yen
06 Apr 2010
Trading tricks with Relative Strength Index
01 Apr 2010
One stock to buy, one stock to sell
31 Mar 2010
FTSE overbought but uptrend intact
29 Mar 2010
Taking the strain out of RSI
26 Mar 2010
Why you shouldn't hang up on BT
25 Mar 2010
Equity recovery has more room to run
24 Mar 2010
Market Sniper goes commodity shopping
23 Mar 2010
Who is king of the commodity currencies?
19 Mar 2010
Life insurance: Sector at the crossroads
18 Mar 2010
Outlook for copper and gold
17 Mar 2010
Australian dollar shows signs of weakness
16 Mar 2010
Mining sector faces rocky time
15 Mar 2010
MACD charts: What, where and how
12 Mar 2010
Telcos: Don't be afraid to go back in
10 Mar 2010
Forex focus: All change in China?
10 Mar 2010
Forex focus: Euro in long term reversal
09 Mar 2010
Forex focus: Sterling still undervalued
08 Mar 2010
Parabolic SAR: Complex trading made easy
05 Mar 2010
BAT leads tobacco sector growth
04 Mar 2010
Gold some way from recovering its shine
03 Mar 2010
Battle of the high yielders AUD and NZD
02 Mar 2010
A futures look at the sterling problem
01 Mar 2010
Channel trading with moving averages
26 Feb 2010
Optimistic outlook for oil E&P
25 Feb 2010
Time to accumulate gold
24 Feb 2010
Five shares to watch
23 Feb 2010
Market Sniper targets bearish currency pairs
22 Feb 2010
Moving averages for entry and exit points
19 Feb 2010
The case for being bullish on gold miners
18 Feb 2010
Oil: $90 'a possible target'
17 Feb 2010
Pound, dollar: More weakness to come
15 Feb 2010
S&P 500 poised for further gains
10 Feb 2010
Gold to shine in short term
10 Feb 2010
'Precarious' FTSE looks for more good news
09 Feb 2010
'Death cross' threatens euro/dollar
08 Feb 2010
Getting the breaks with outside bars
05 Feb 2010
Oil majors: Performance and outlook
04 Feb 2010
Volatile year ahead for equities
03 Feb 2010
Dollar momentum signalled by Swiss Franc
02 Feb 2010
Emerging markets in downward correction
01 Feb 2010
Bar patterns: Simple, profitable but ignored
29 Jan 2010
Pharmas to evolve and innovate in 2010
28 Jan 2010
Currency pairs on the move
27 Jan 2010
Break-out trading with commodities
26 Jan 2010
Two FTSE stocks ready to breakout
25 Jan 2010
Consolidation patterns and their use
22 Jan 2010
Tech stocks to watch in 2010
21 Jan 2010
Forex: Euro's Achilles heel
20 Jan 2010
Gold to fall below $1,000
19 Jan 2010
Forex : USD/JPY impact on Nikkei
18 Jan 2010
Continuation patterns: Bear flags
15 Jan 2010
Forecast for retail
14 Jan 2010
Aussie dollar: Buy or sell?
13 Jan 2010
Gold to test new highs
12 Jan 2010
Dow heads to pre-Lehman levels
11 Jan 2010
Continuation patterns: Bull flags
08 Jan 2010
Petrofac and energy services
07 Jan 2010
Pound faces long-term weakness
06 Jan 2010
Cold snap pushes oil, gold to retest highs
05 Jan 2010
FTSE: Key levels to watch as rally continues
04 Jan 2010
Bullish head and shoulder patterns
21 Dec 2009
Bearish head and shoulder patterns
18 Dec 2009
Who will succeed in 2010?
17 Dec 2009
Markets, gold and oil trends for 2010
16 Dec 2009
Stocks to pick in 2010
15 Dec 2009
FTSE and Dow bearish in early 2010
14 Dec 2009
Spotting major reversal points
11 Dec 2009
Outlook for UK banking sector
10 Dec 2009
Pound/dollar forecast 2010
09 Dec 2009
Patterns predict breakout for Wincanton
08 Dec 2009
Gold reveals upside potential for equities
07 Dec 2009
Double bottom patterns
04 Dec 2009
Fresnillo and silver mining
03 Dec 2009
Dollar/yen slide continues, 15yr low looms
02 Dec 2009
Dubai, LSE glitch prove FTSE's strength
01 Dec 2009
Thomas Cook sparks travel stock interest
27 Nov 2009
BA, easyJet and Ryanair
26 Nov 2009
Silver to outshine gold
25 Nov 2009
Commodity currencies favour yen
24 Nov 2009
Mind the Dow/Nikkei gap
23 Nov 2009
Charts Masterclass: Using trend lines
20 Nov 2009
Russian miner Petropavlovsk
19 Nov 2009
Usual suspects keep FTSE strong
18 Nov 2009
Metal price surge shows no sign of stopping
17 Nov 2009
Dollar/Yen: Greenback weakness to continue
13 Nov 2009
Shell vs. BP
12 Nov 2009
US stocks: buy or sell?
11 Nov 2009
Oil to hit $100 a barrel
10 Nov 2009
Pound/dollar: There may be trouble ahead
06 Nov 2009
Sainsbury vs. Tesco
05 Nov 2009
Dow faces further down moves
04 Nov 2009
Caution urged as short term FTSE nears top
03 Nov 2009
Stocks to watch: Rio Tinto and Bunzl
02 Nov 2009
Charts Masterclass: Trading with the uptrend
30 Oct 2009
Randgold Resources
29 Oct 2009
Levels to watch for sterling, dollar
28 Oct 2009
India, Brazil key to understanding dollar
27 Oct 2009
Treasury notes, oil and the dollar
15 Oct 2009
Sterling in the spotlight
30 Sep 2009
Time to short euro and gold?
24 Sep 2009
FTSE continues bullish trend
16 Sep 2009
Gold: next target $1,600
03 Sep 2009
Buying back into banks
27 Aug 2009
Investors warned on aggressive buying
19 Aug 2009
Bears rule as markets move lower
13 Aug 2009
Reading the markets' mixed signals
06 Aug 2009
Outlook bullish for mining stocks
30 Jul 2009
Beware of buying into buoyant markets
23 Jul 2009
July's positive market momentum to continue
16 Jul 2009
S&P poised for downward move
08 Jul 2009
Signs point to markets breaking lower
07 Jul 2009
FTSE stocks: one to buy and one to sell
02 Jul 2009
Dow Jones: Sell short into any strength
15 Jun 2009
Volumes key to next market move
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Sandy Jadeja, Chief Market Strategist
Sandy Jadeja continues to apply the lessons learnt in previous Masterclass episodes to trading floor scenarios. This week, how to trade the current gold market.
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Welcome to Cantos Charts Masterclass. I'm Sandy Jadeja, Chief Technical Analyst for City Index.
Again, welcome to another lesson in how to use technical analysis and chart patterns. As always, this is simply for information purposes and educational purposes only.
Now, I'd like to take a look at what we've learnt over the last few lessons and apply that to current market moves. So we'll use technical analysis and chart patterns to take a look at one of the markets that a lot of people are focusing on right now. We'll take a look at moving averages, support and resistance, candlesticks and various other elements to give us an idea as to what the market might be doing or what clues it might be providing.
Now this here is the weekly chart of gold. The first things we need to look at is what is the most obvious thing that stands out. Clearly, this market has been moving towards the upside. Is it trading above or below its 20 period moving average? This particular market is trading above its 20 period moving average. We cleared the $1,051 high, the March '08 high which was quite a significant high because it had various attempts of breaking above that. Now of course we've taken that out. We also tested that on the downside just at this point over here and of course, the market has held that and then traded towards the upside.
So what's next? Well, again, we've talked about the importance of round numbers and for gold $1,250 on a weekly basis has been tested several times. Currently speaking, the market has trading back above there, managed to close above that level, although it has poked head back down below this key level here. Above the $1,250, we have the all time important round number $1,300. So if gold prices continue towards the upside and it can sustain $1,250 that would suggest that there is still a $50 move towards the upside that might be worth taking the risk for depending on how much risk we want to initiate and of course, depending on the chart patterns that are available at the time. So, so far, it's above its 20 period moving average. We seem to be holding the $1,250 area with a potential approach to the $1,300 level.
Now, in this example here we are looking at the weekly chart but again, what I've done is to take away some of the other elements and see what else we can figure out from what's happening in the markets.
Several times the market had traded towards the downside and of course the bears would have come along and said this market has probably made a top and we're heading lower. But in actual fact, what it has been doing is providing what we call bull flags. That's a continuation pattern. So in this particular market here we've seen quite a few bull flag. The market has acknowledged that and continued towards the upside.
What about in terms of the candlestick patterns? Are there more red bars or blue bars? Clearly, there are more blue bars suggesting that the bulls are in control. So again, we have a bullish bias on this particular commodity.
Now, here we are looking at the weekly chart again and we seem to be trading above the parabolic SAR. So that's suggesting that that's quite a good upwards move as well.
So everything so far is pointing to a bullish market, but does that mean we just jump on board? Does that mean that we're going to take the position right now and head towards $1,300? No, because there are other factors to consider. We want to look at the lower timeframe in order to give us a better position to see if we can enter this market. So from here, for example, on this particular chart here, we are looking at the daily chart. Now also, the commodity is trading above its parabolic SAR. We seem to have had two new highs on the daily chart, but the stochastic indicator is showing a divergence pattern. In other words, the indicator is moving down while price is moving towards the upside and we're also very closely trading towards the parabolic SAR. Does that suggest that we might be approaching weakness in price? Possibly, yes. Is this a good time to possibly get bullish right now? Maybe not. Maybe we should wait for some more confirmation. Maybe a breakout above the highs. Maybe a move away from the parabolic SAR.
So the idea here is to use two timeframes, use various elements of technical analysis, to give us a better picture and hopefully a better risk profile of where to enter the markets.
So the key questions to ask again, is the market trading below or above the 20 period moving average, are there any key support or price resistance levels nearby and what is the current pattern telling us both on the weekly and the daily timeframe and of course, pay attention to the parabolic SAR because that seems to be quite a useful and a favourite indicator amongst technical traders.
I hope this lesson has been useful for you. I look forward to seeing you in the next lesson. We will observe a few more markets using technical analysis. Have a great trading week. This is Sandy Jadeja.

26 Aug 2010
AMEC - Interim results 2010

26 Aug 2010
Hikma - Half year results 2010

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Prudential - Half Year Results 2010

12 Aug 2010
AEGON Q2 2010 results

06 Aug 2010
PartyGaming - 2010 half year results

05 Aug 2010
Barclays - Interim results 2010

05 Aug 2010
Unilever - Half-year and Q2 2010 results
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